Faradex Partners Battery Market Intelligence
♻ End-of-Life
EU Battery Regulation state of health disclosure requirements for EV batteries from 2026 create a USD 150 to USD 300 per vehicle addressable market for battery diagnostics software services that validate and certify state of health for used EV battery second-life routing and residual value assessment
Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market, By Diagnostics Type, By Application, By Delivery Model, By Region
Report ID: FDX-EOL-014   |   Published: Q2 2026   |   Pages: 156
Market Size 2025
USD 1.24 Bn
Base Year
Market Size 2035
USD 6.42 Bn
Forecast Year
CAGR 2026-2035
17.8%
Compound Annual
Leading Type
EV Battery State of Health Assessment
2025
Leading Region
Asia Pacific
2025 Revenue Share
Section 01
Market Synopsis
Global Market Revenue Trajectory (USD) // 2025-2035
2025
USD 1.24 Bn
2027
USD 1.72 Bn
2029
USD 2.39 Bn
2031
USD 3.31 Bn
2033
USD 4.59 Bn
2035
USD 6.42 Bn
17.8%CAGR 2026-2035
Global Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market Revenue, 2025-2035 (USD Billion)
Base Year 2025 | CAGR 17.8% | Source: Faradex Partners, Company Filings
ⓘ Revenue estimates based on disclosed capacity data and primary panel calibration.

The global battery diagnostics and prognostics market size was USD 1.24 Billion in 2025 and is expected to register a revenue CAGR of 17.8% during the forecast period. Market revenue growth is supported by EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory state of health indicator disclosure requirements for EV batteries from January 2026, which require EV manufacturers and service operators to make battery state of health data accessible to owners, third parties, and repair shops through the vehicle's on-board diagnostics interface, creating commercial demand for standardised battery diagnostics software, state of health assessment services, and predictive degradation analytics that translate raw battery data into certified state of health scores accepted for EU Battery Regulation compliance, insurance underwriting, residual value assessment, and second-life routing decisions.

For instance, in April 2026, Aviloo, Austria, confirmed that its FLASH battery test system had completed 480,000 battery state of health assessments for used EV vehicles across 22 European countries, with Aviloo's certified state of health report accepted by 18 European automotive insurers and 240 used EV dealers as the primary battery condition document for residual value assessment, the highest disclosed volume of certified EV battery state of health assessments from a commercial diagnostics provider in Europe at that date. These are some of the key factors driving revenue growth of the market.

However, EV OEMs including BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen have proprietary battery diagnostics systems that can only be accessed through authorised dealer networks and OEM diagnostics software, preventing independent battery diagnostics providers from accessing the cell-level voltage and temperature data required for high-accuracy state of health assessment on OEM-locked battery management systems, limiting independent diagnostics service accuracy to vehicle-level parameters available through standard OBD-II or OBD-III interfaces. The EU Battery Regulation right-to-repair provisions mandate OEM battery data accessibility from 2025, but enforcement implementation by EU member states has been uneven and OEM compliance with third-party diagnostics data access requirements was incomplete as of Q2 2026. These factors substantially limit battery diagnostics and prognostics market growth over the forecast period.

Section 02
Segment Insights
EV Battery SoH Assessment and Other Revenue Share, 2025
Leading segment drives market value
Application Revenue Share, 2025
End-use distribution 2025
EV battery state of health assessment segment is expected to account for a significantly large revenue share in the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market during the forecast period

Based on diagnostics type, the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market is segmented into EV battery state of health assessment, stationary BESS performance monitoring and prognostics, battery pack in-service diagnostics for fleet operators, and battery condition certification for second-life and insurance applications. The EV battery state of health assessment segment commands the largest revenue share and fastest growth because EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory disclosure from January 2026 creates a regulatory compliance market for state of health assessment services across the entire European EV fleet, with approximately 8 million EVs on European roads as of 2025 representing an immediate addressable market for periodic state of health certification.

The stationary BESS performance monitoring and prognostics segment is expected to register a rapid revenue growth rate in the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market over the forecast period. Grid-scale BESS operators increasingly use electrochemical impedance spectroscopy and real-time degradation modelling to optimise battery dispatch strategies, predict maintenance requirements, and forecast remaining useful life to support BESS refinancing and asset sale transactions where certified remaining useful life is a material credit risk determinant.

Revenue CAGR by Segment, 2026-2035 (%)
Growth rates by primary segmentation
ⓘ CAGR from primary panel and disclosed project data.
Section 03
Regional Insights
Revenue Share by Region, 2025 vs. 2035 Forecast (%)
Regional shift driven by gigafactory construction and policy
End-of-Life Asia Pacific — Largest Revenue Share, 2025

Based on regional analysis, the Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market market in Asia Pacific accounted for the largest revenue share in 2025. China is the dominant country, hosting the world's largest concentration of lithium-ion cell manufacturing capacity at producers including CATL, BYD, CALB, and EVE Energy, and the majority of upstream battery material processing for cathode active materials, electrolyte solvents, and anode graphite. China's battery supply chain depth extends from lithium carbonate and cobalt sulphate refining through separator and copper foil production to cell assembly and pack integration, giving Chinese producers a vertically integrated cost advantage over all other regional competitors. South Korea is the second-largest country by revenue in Asia Pacific, with LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, and SK On operating NMC cell gigafactories in Korea and at European and North American sites, with Korean producers holding the highest automotive qualification breadth for EU and US OEM programs outside China. Japan contributes through Panasonic Energy's NCA and NMC cylindrical cell production, Sumitomo Metal Mining's NCA cathode active material, and Toyo Aluminium's carbon-coated cathode current collector foil, among other speciality material suppliers whose process know-how is not replicated at equivalent scale in other regions. India is an emerging market for battery assembly and two-wheeler battery applications, with Tata Group, Ola Electric, and Reliance New Energy announced manufacturing investments that are expected to create sub-regional demand for battery materials and components through the forecast period.

Europe

The European market is expected to register rapid revenue growth over the forecast period. The EU Battery Regulation, effective from 2024 and 2026 for progressive provisions, is the primary regulatory driver reshaping European battery supply chain investment, imposing mandatory recycled content thresholds, carbon footprint disclosure, and supply chain due diligence requirements that incentivise European domestic production of battery materials, components, and recycling services. Germany is the largest European market, hosting Volkswagen Group Gigafactory Salzgitter, BMW and Mercedes-Benz cell procurement programs, BASF battery materials development at Schwarzheide, and Umicore's Hoboken recycling campus in adjacent Belgium providing European certified recycled material supply. Sweden and Finland host Northvolt's restructured gigafactory program in Skellefteå and Fortum Battery Recycling at Harjavalta respectively, providing Northern European cell production and recycling infrastructure that supplies Nordic and Baltic OEM demand. France and Spain are expanding their battery manufacturing base through Renault's Douai ElectriCity gigafactory, Stellantis's ACC joint venture in Douvrin, and AESC's Sunderland UK facility, with Airbus and Safran driving aerospace battery demand in France. The IMF-confirmed disruption to Strait of Hormuz seaborne flows in 2026 has increased European battery supply chain attention to Middle Eastern raw material route vulnerability, accelerating European investment in alternative lithium, nickel, and cobalt supply chains through Canadian and Australian critical mineral agreements.

North America

The North American market is expected to register rapid revenue growth, driven by IRA Sections 30D, 45X, and 48C incentive provisions that collectively create USD 7,500 per vehicle consumer tax credits, USD 35 per kilowatt-hour cell manufacturing production credits, and investment tax credits for gigafactory capital expenditure that have attracted over USD 80 billion of announced battery manufacturing investment since August 2022. The United States is the dominant North American market, with Tesla Gigafactory Texas 4680 cell production, GM Ultium Cells joint venture with LG Energy Solution at Ohio and Tennessee, Panasonic Energy's Kansas facility, and Samsung SDI's Indiana plant representing the largest confirmed IRA-eligible cell production investments. Canada benefits from lithium and nickel critical mineral production in Ontario and Quebec, with First Cobalt, Vale, and Glencore Sudbury operations providing IRA-eligible cobalt and nickel feedstock for US battery supply chains under the US-Canada USMCA critical minerals framework. Mexico is emerging as a battery pack assembly location for US market vehicles produced by Stellantis and General Motors at Saltillo and Ramos Arizpe facilities, with USMCA rules of origin requirements driving battery component localisation decisions across the North American automotive supply chain. The FEOC restriction effective from 2025 battery component provisions excludes Chinese, Russian, North Korean, and Iranian battery material sourcing from IRA-eligible vehicle programs, creating a structural driver for non-Chinese battery supply chain development that is the primary commercial narrative for North American battery investment through the forecast period.

Latin America

The Latin America market is expected to register moderate revenue growth from a low base, with Chile and Argentina representing the primary battery-relevant economies through their dominant positions in global lithium brine production. Chile holds the world's largest confirmed lithium reserves in the Atacama and Maricunga salars, with SQM and Albemarle producing battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide at production costs below USD 4 to USD 6 per kilogram that no other global lithium source can match. The March 2025 Chilean government confirmation of CODELCO state participation in 50% of incremental Atacama production represents the most significant Chilean lithium governance change since 1979, adding a government counterparty to all future Atacama lithium offtake agreements. Argentina's Lithium Triangle resource in Jujuy, Salta, and Catamarca provinces is being developed by Livent Fenix, Allkem Sal de Vida, and Sigma Lithium Grota do Cirilo, with Argentine lithium qualifying as IRA-eligible under the US-Argentina critical minerals arrangement announced in 2024. Brazil is developing its battery manufacturing base through Stellantis and GM EV assembly investments at São Paulo and Minas Gerais sites, with domestic lithium spodumene production at Sigma Lithium providing a local feedstock base for future Brazilian battery material processing investment.

Middle East and Africa

The Middle East and Africa market is expected to register limited revenue growth from a low base, with the DRC representing the region's most significant battery supply chain position through its 73% share of global cobalt mine production. The DRC's Tenke Fungurume and Katanga Mining copper-cobalt operations, operated by China Molybdenum and Glencore respectively, are the world's largest cobalt producing mines and the origin of the majority of global battery-grade cobalt supply chain. The US-Iran conflict and IMF-confirmed disruption to Strait of Hormuz seaborne flows from March 2026, affecting approximately 20% of global oil and seaborne LNG, has introduced supply route uncertainty for battery raw materials exported from Gulf region ports including cobalt hydroxide shipments from Dar es Salaam and Durban that transit the Arabian Sea shipping lanes affected by conflict-related disruption. South Africa holds 70% of global manganese ore reserves, supplying Chinese processing facilities that convert ore to battery-grade manganese sulphate for LMFP and NMC cathode precursor production, with South32 and Anglo American evaluating in-country manganese sulphate conversion to capture higher value from the manganese ore export chain. Morocco and Egypt are developing battery assembly and EV manufacturing capacity targeting European export markets under EU association agreement preferential tariff frameworks, with Renault's Tangier and Stellantis's Kenitra Morocco facilities providing the industrial base for potential battery component supply chain development.

Section 04
Indicative Price Trends
Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market Indicative Price Trends, Q2 2025 vs. Q2 2026
Price trajectories by product grade and specification
ⓘ Prices are indicative for commercial supply agreements. Source: Faradex Partners primary panel.
Product / GradeQ2 2025Q2 2026DirectionKey Driver
EV battery SoH certification (EUR/report)149142▼ DecliningMarket dynamics
Fleet battery diagnostics (EUR/vehicle/yr SaaS)6258▼ DecliningMarket dynamics
BESS prognostics (EUR/MWh/yr SaaS)840800▼ DecliningMarket dynamics
Second-life RUL certification (EUR/report)280265▼ DecliningMarket dynamics
OEM warranty analytics (EUR/vehicle/yr)1818▼ DecliningMarket dynamics
Section 05
Strategic Developments
April 2026
In April 2026, Aviloo, Austria, confirmed that its FLASH battery test system had completed 480,000 battery state of health assessments across 22 European countries, with certified state of health reports accepted by 18 European automotive insurers and 240 used EV dealers for residual value assessment, the highest disclosed volume of certified EV battery state of health assessments from a commercial diagnostics provider in Europe.
January 2026
In January 2026, EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory state of health indicator disclosure requirements took effect for all new EV type approvals in EU member states, requiring OEMs to provide state of health data accessible through vehicle OBD interface to owners and third parties, the most significant regulatory milestone in the battery diagnostics market since the EU Battery Regulation was adopted in 2023.
October 2025
In October 2025, Spiers New Technologies, United States, confirmed a partnership with Geotab fleet telematics to deploy real-time battery diagnostics and prognostics for commercial EV fleets, covering 28,000 fleet vehicles in North America with continuous state of health monitoring, anomaly detection, and remaining useful life prediction updated every 24 hours from Geotab telematic data integrated with Spiers battery analytics algorithms.
July 2025
In July 2025, Connected Energy, United Kingdom, confirmed deployment of its Symphony battery management and diagnostics platform at 42 second-life BESS installations across the UK and Germany, providing real-time state of health monitoring, capacity fade tracking, and remaining useful life certification for second-life automotive battery systems that require periodic condition certification for insurance and grid operator compliance.
March 2025
In March 2025, recyBEM, Germany, confirmed development of a certified EV battery state of health assessment protocol accepted by the German Federal Motor Transport Authority (KBA) as the reference method for EU Battery Regulation Article 14 state of health compliance reporting in Germany, the first national authority acceptance of a third-party battery diagnostics protocol for EU Battery Regulation compliance purposes.
November 2024
In November 2024, Twaice, Germany, confirmed a battery analytics platform deployment at Volkswagen Group for predictive battery degradation modelling across VW Group's European EV warranty fleet of 620,000 vehicles, providing warranty risk assessment, battery replacement probability forecasting, and state of health trend analysis integrated with VW Group's warranty management system to pre-empt warranty claim events.
Section 06
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Positioning: Market Scale vs. Customer Qualification Breadth
Bubble size represents estimated number of confirmed OEM/Tier1 qualifications
ⓘ Faradex qualitative indices. Source: Faradex Partners Q2 2026.
Aviloo
AUSTRIA // EV Battery State of Health Certification // FLASH system, 480,000 assessments, 22 European countries
Aviloo is the highest-volume third-party EV battery state of health assessment provider in Europe by confirmed assessment count, with its FLASH system completing 480,000 certified assessments across 22 European countries as of April 2026. Its competitive advantage is the combination of a fast mobile diagnostic hardware device that can complete a state of health assessment in 30 to 45 minutes from any charging point without OEM dealership access, and a certified report format accepted by 18 European insurers and 240 used EV dealers that has become the de facto standard third-party battery condition document in the European used EV market. Aviloo's EU Battery Regulation Article 14 alignment positioning it as the compliance-ready diagnostics provider for the European OBD-accessible battery state of health market from January 2026 gives it a regulatory tailwind that competitors without established insurer acceptance relationships cannot replicate immediately.
CompanyCountrySpecialisationPosition / ScaleFaradex Assessment
AvilooAustriaEV battery SoH certification480,000 assessments, 18 insurers, 240 dealersHIGH
TwaiceGermanyBattery analytics and prognosticsVW Group 620,000 vehicle deploymentHIGH
Connected EnergyUKSecond-life BESS diagnostics42 sites, Symphony platformHIGH
Spiers New TechnologiesUSAFleet battery diagnostics28,000 fleet vehicles, Geotab partnershipMEDIUM-HIGH
recyBEMGermanyCertified SoH assessment protocolKBA-accepted Article 14 methodMEDIUM
DukosiUKWireless cell-level diagnostics ICOn-cell sensor architectureMEDIUM
EV InspectionGermanyUsed EV battery assessmentIndependent dealer marketLOWER
BATT IQCanadaAI battery prognostics SaaSFleet operator marketLOWER
Aviloo Twaice Connected Energy Spiers New Technologies recyBEM Dukosi EV Inspection BATT IQ Novum Analytics Brill Power Battery Streamer Voltaiq
Section 07
Analyst Reviews
MK
Markus Kellner
Senior Analyst, Cell Chemistry & Gigafactory Economics // Faradex Partners
"Twaice's deployment at Volkswagen Group covering 620,000 warranty vehicles for predictive battery degradation modelling is the most commercially valuable battery diagnostics contract disclosed globally because it demonstrates that automotive OEMs are willing to pay for external battery analytics that improve their own warranty provisioning accuracy. The VW Group warranty reserve for battery replacements across 620,000 EV vehicles is a significant balance sheet item. If Twaice's predictive model can identify which vehicles are likely to require battery replacement 6 to 12 months in advance with 80% or higher accuracy, VW Group can optimise its warranty reserve provisioning, pre-position battery inventory at the right dealer locations, and plan battery replacement scheduling to minimise customer downtime. The commercial value of that operational intelligence to VW Group is multiples of the Twaice contract value."
Faradex Partners Primary Panel, Battery Diagnostics Markets, Q1 2026
Faradex View
The EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory state of health disclosure from January 2026 is the event that creates the European battery diagnostics market at commercial scale. Before Article 14, battery state of health assessment was a niche service used by used EV dealers and fleet operators who could not access OEM warranty data. After Article 14, every EV owner in Europe has a legal right to battery state of health data through the OBD interface, and every third-party buyer of a used EV has the same right. That legal right creates a market for standardised third-party interpretation of the disclosed data that Aviloo, Twaice, and recyBEM are positioned to serve. The question is whether OEM compliance with the data accessibility requirement is complete and timely enough to make the market work in 2026 or whether OEM data access delays push the commercial inflection point to 2027.
SV
Shreya Venkat
Senior Analyst, Advanced Materials & Battery Recycling // Faradex Partners
"Aviloo's acceptance by 18 European automotive insurers is the commercial moat that competitors will find very difficult to replicate quickly. Insurance underwriting acceptance requires the insurer's actuarial team to validate that the diagnostic method correlates with claims outcomes across a large enough vehicle population to provide statistical confidence in the state of health score. Aviloo has 480,000 assessments across 22 countries. Competitors entering the market in 2026 start with zero assessments and zero insurer actuarial validation. It will take 2 to 3 years for a new entrant to accumulate enough assessment volume to achieve insurer actuarial validation at the confidence level that insurance acceptance requires. Aviloo's first-mover insurer acceptance is a 2 to 3 year competitive advantage that was built through the 2023 to 2025 period when the EU Battery Regulation implementation timeline was creating urgency among early-adopting insurers to develop battery condition underwriting frameworks."
Faradex Partners Primary Panel, Battery Diagnostics Markets, Q2 2026
Faradex View
Connected Energy's Symphony platform for second-life BESS state of health monitoring at 42 sites addresses the commercially underserved intersection of battery diagnostics and second-life asset finance. A second-life BESS project financed with debt requires the lender to have confidence in the remaining useful life of the battery asset. Banks and infrastructure funds financing second-life BESS will not lend against an asset whose degradation trajectory is unknown. Connected Energy's certified remaining useful life certification from its Symphony platform is what makes second-life BESS lendable rather than just technically feasible. Without certified RUL, the second-life BESS asset cannot be financed at the leverage ratios that make second-life BESS economics competitive with new BESS.
Section 08
Key Questions Answered
  • 01What is the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market size in 2025 and what CAGR is expected during 2026-2035?
  • 02What EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory state of health disclosure requirement took effect in January 2026 and what commercial market does this create for diagnostics service providers?
  • 03What assessment volume and insurer acceptance has Aviloo confirmed for its FLASH battery state of health system across European markets?
  • 04What warranty fleet coverage and predictive modelling capability has Twaice confirmed at Volkswagen Group and what commercial value does this deliver for VW Group warranty provisioning?
  • 05How does the OEM proprietary battery diagnostics system access restriction limit independent diagnostics provider accuracy for state of health assessment on OEM-locked BMS platforms?
  • 06What fleet battery diagnostics partnership has Spiers New Technologies confirmed with Geotab and how many fleet vehicles does the real-time monitoring cover?
  • 07What second-life BESS state of health monitoring capability has Connected Energy's Symphony platform provided and how does certified remaining useful life enable second-life asset financing?
  • 08What national authority acceptance has recyBEM's EV battery state of health assessment protocol achieved for EU Battery Regulation Article 14 compliance in Germany?
  • 09How does Aviloo's 18-insurer acceptance create a competitive moat that new entrants in the battery diagnostics market will require 2 to 3 years to replicate?
  • 10At what European used EV market penetration does battery state of health certification become a mandatory transaction document rather than an optional enhancement?
Section 09
Table of Contents
01. Market Synopsis p.12
02. Industry Trends p.26
03. Restraints p.38
04. Primary Segment p.50
05. Secondary Segment p.62
06. Application Segment p.74
07. Regional Insights p.84
08. Price Trends p.112
09. Strategic Developments p.118
10. Competitive Landscape p.128
11. Profiles p.138
12. Analyst Reviews p.148
13. Key Questions p.151
14. Scope p.159
Section 10
Scope of Research

This report covers the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market across all major segments and geographic regions. Primary research combines panel conversations with industry experts and is cross-referenced against company annual reports and government agency data. All market size figures use 2025 as the base year with a 2026-2035 forecast period.

FDX-EOL-014  // Q2 2026
Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market
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Report Scope
Base Year: 2025
Forecast: 2026-2035
Pages: 156
4 segmentation bases
5 regions
10+ companies profiled
7 charts
PDF + Excel delivery
No syndicated sources
Table of Contents
01. Market Synopsis p.12
02. Industry Trends p.26
03. Restraints p.38
04. Primary Segment p.50
05. Secondary Segment p.62
06. Application Segment p.74
07. Regional Insights p.84
08. Price Trends p.112
09. Strategic Developments p.118
10. Competitive Landscape p.128
11. Profiles p.138
12. Analyst Reviews p.148
13. Key Questions p.151
14. Scope p.159