The global battery diagnostics and prognostics market size was USD 1.24 Billion in 2025 and is expected to register a revenue CAGR of 17.8% during the forecast period. Market revenue growth is supported by EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory state of health indicator disclosure requirements for EV batteries from January 2026, which require EV manufacturers and service operators to make battery state of health data accessible to owners, third parties, and repair shops through the vehicle's on-board diagnostics interface, creating commercial demand for standardised battery diagnostics software, state of health assessment services, and predictive degradation analytics that translate raw battery data into certified state of health scores accepted for EU Battery Regulation compliance, insurance underwriting, residual value assessment, and second-life routing decisions.
For instance, in April 2026, Aviloo, Austria, confirmed that its FLASH battery test system had completed 480,000 battery state of health assessments for used EV vehicles across 22 European countries, with Aviloo's certified state of health report accepted by 18 European automotive insurers and 240 used EV dealers as the primary battery condition document for residual value assessment, the highest disclosed volume of certified EV battery state of health assessments from a commercial diagnostics provider in Europe at that date. These are some of the key factors driving revenue growth of the market.
However, EV OEMs including BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen have proprietary battery diagnostics systems that can only be accessed through authorised dealer networks and OEM diagnostics software, preventing independent battery diagnostics providers from accessing the cell-level voltage and temperature data required for high-accuracy state of health assessment on OEM-locked battery management systems, limiting independent diagnostics service accuracy to vehicle-level parameters available through standard OBD-II or OBD-III interfaces. The EU Battery Regulation right-to-repair provisions mandate OEM battery data accessibility from 2025, but enforcement implementation by EU member states has been uneven and OEM compliance with third-party diagnostics data access requirements was incomplete as of Q2 2026. These factors substantially limit battery diagnostics and prognostics market growth over the forecast period.
Based on diagnostics type, the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market is segmented into EV battery state of health assessment, stationary BESS performance monitoring and prognostics, battery pack in-service diagnostics for fleet operators, and battery condition certification for second-life and insurance applications. The EV battery state of health assessment segment commands the largest revenue share and fastest growth because EU Battery Regulation Article 14 mandatory disclosure from January 2026 creates a regulatory compliance market for state of health assessment services across the entire European EV fleet, with approximately 8 million EVs on European roads as of 2025 representing an immediate addressable market for periodic state of health certification.
The stationary BESS performance monitoring and prognostics segment is expected to register a rapid revenue growth rate in the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market over the forecast period. Grid-scale BESS operators increasingly use electrochemical impedance spectroscopy and real-time degradation modelling to optimise battery dispatch strategies, predict maintenance requirements, and forecast remaining useful life to support BESS refinancing and asset sale transactions where certified remaining useful life is a material credit risk determinant.
Based on regional analysis, the Battery Diagnostics and Prognostics Market market in Asia Pacific accounted for the largest revenue share in 2025. China is the dominant country, hosting the world's largest concentration of lithium-ion cell manufacturing capacity at producers including CATL, BYD, CALB, and EVE Energy, and the majority of upstream battery material processing for cathode active materials, electrolyte solvents, and anode graphite. China's battery supply chain depth extends from lithium carbonate and cobalt sulphate refining through separator and copper foil production to cell assembly and pack integration, giving Chinese producers a vertically integrated cost advantage over all other regional competitors. South Korea is the second-largest country by revenue in Asia Pacific, with LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, and SK On operating NMC cell gigafactories in Korea and at European and North American sites, with Korean producers holding the highest automotive qualification breadth for EU and US OEM programs outside China. Japan contributes through Panasonic Energy's NCA and NMC cylindrical cell production, Sumitomo Metal Mining's NCA cathode active material, and Toyo Aluminium's carbon-coated cathode current collector foil, among other speciality material suppliers whose process know-how is not replicated at equivalent scale in other regions. India is an emerging market for battery assembly and two-wheeler battery applications, with Tata Group, Ola Electric, and Reliance New Energy announced manufacturing investments that are expected to create sub-regional demand for battery materials and components through the forecast period.
The European market is expected to register rapid revenue growth over the forecast period. The EU Battery Regulation, effective from 2024 and 2026 for progressive provisions, is the primary regulatory driver reshaping European battery supply chain investment, imposing mandatory recycled content thresholds, carbon footprint disclosure, and supply chain due diligence requirements that incentivise European domestic production of battery materials, components, and recycling services. Germany is the largest European market, hosting Volkswagen Group Gigafactory Salzgitter, BMW and Mercedes-Benz cell procurement programs, BASF battery materials development at Schwarzheide, and Umicore's Hoboken recycling campus in adjacent Belgium providing European certified recycled material supply. Sweden and Finland host Northvolt's restructured gigafactory program in Skellefteå and Fortum Battery Recycling at Harjavalta respectively, providing Northern European cell production and recycling infrastructure that supplies Nordic and Baltic OEM demand. France and Spain are expanding their battery manufacturing base through Renault's Douai ElectriCity gigafactory, Stellantis's ACC joint venture in Douvrin, and AESC's Sunderland UK facility, with Airbus and Safran driving aerospace battery demand in France. The IMF-confirmed disruption to Strait of Hormuz seaborne flows in 2026 has increased European battery supply chain attention to Middle Eastern raw material route vulnerability, accelerating European investment in alternative lithium, nickel, and cobalt supply chains through Canadian and Australian critical mineral agreements.
The North American market is expected to register rapid revenue growth, driven by IRA Sections 30D, 45X, and 48C incentive provisions that collectively create USD 7,500 per vehicle consumer tax credits, USD 35 per kilowatt-hour cell manufacturing production credits, and investment tax credits for gigafactory capital expenditure that have attracted over USD 80 billion of announced battery manufacturing investment since August 2022. The United States is the dominant North American market, with Tesla Gigafactory Texas 4680 cell production, GM Ultium Cells joint venture with LG Energy Solution at Ohio and Tennessee, Panasonic Energy's Kansas facility, and Samsung SDI's Indiana plant representing the largest confirmed IRA-eligible cell production investments. Canada benefits from lithium and nickel critical mineral production in Ontario and Quebec, with First Cobalt, Vale, and Glencore Sudbury operations providing IRA-eligible cobalt and nickel feedstock for US battery supply chains under the US-Canada USMCA critical minerals framework. Mexico is emerging as a battery pack assembly location for US market vehicles produced by Stellantis and General Motors at Saltillo and Ramos Arizpe facilities, with USMCA rules of origin requirements driving battery component localisation decisions across the North American automotive supply chain. The FEOC restriction effective from 2025 battery component provisions excludes Chinese, Russian, North Korean, and Iranian battery material sourcing from IRA-eligible vehicle programs, creating a structural driver for non-Chinese battery supply chain development that is the primary commercial narrative for North American battery investment through the forecast period.
The Latin America market is expected to register moderate revenue growth from a low base, with Chile and Argentina representing the primary battery-relevant economies through their dominant positions in global lithium brine production. Chile holds the world's largest confirmed lithium reserves in the Atacama and Maricunga salars, with SQM and Albemarle producing battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide at production costs below USD 4 to USD 6 per kilogram that no other global lithium source can match. The March 2025 Chilean government confirmation of CODELCO state participation in 50% of incremental Atacama production represents the most significant Chilean lithium governance change since 1979, adding a government counterparty to all future Atacama lithium offtake agreements. Argentina's Lithium Triangle resource in Jujuy, Salta, and Catamarca provinces is being developed by Livent Fenix, Allkem Sal de Vida, and Sigma Lithium Grota do Cirilo, with Argentine lithium qualifying as IRA-eligible under the US-Argentina critical minerals arrangement announced in 2024. Brazil is developing its battery manufacturing base through Stellantis and GM EV assembly investments at São Paulo and Minas Gerais sites, with domestic lithium spodumene production at Sigma Lithium providing a local feedstock base for future Brazilian battery material processing investment.
The Middle East and Africa market is expected to register limited revenue growth from a low base, with the DRC representing the region's most significant battery supply chain position through its 73% share of global cobalt mine production. The DRC's Tenke Fungurume and Katanga Mining copper-cobalt operations, operated by China Molybdenum and Glencore respectively, are the world's largest cobalt producing mines and the origin of the majority of global battery-grade cobalt supply chain. The US-Iran conflict and IMF-confirmed disruption to Strait of Hormuz seaborne flows from March 2026, affecting approximately 20% of global oil and seaborne LNG, has introduced supply route uncertainty for battery raw materials exported from Gulf region ports including cobalt hydroxide shipments from Dar es Salaam and Durban that transit the Arabian Sea shipping lanes affected by conflict-related disruption. South Africa holds 70% of global manganese ore reserves, supplying Chinese processing facilities that convert ore to battery-grade manganese sulphate for LMFP and NMC cathode precursor production, with South32 and Anglo American evaluating in-country manganese sulphate conversion to capture higher value from the manganese ore export chain. Morocco and Egypt are developing battery assembly and EV manufacturing capacity targeting European export markets under EU association agreement preferential tariff frameworks, with Renault's Tangier and Stellantis's Kenitra Morocco facilities providing the industrial base for potential battery component supply chain development.
| Product / Grade | Q2 2025 | Q2 2026 | Direction | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV battery SoH certification (EUR/report) | 149 | 142 | ▼ Declining | Market dynamics |
| Fleet battery diagnostics (EUR/vehicle/yr SaaS) | 62 | 58 | ▼ Declining | Market dynamics |
| BESS prognostics (EUR/MWh/yr SaaS) | 840 | 800 | ▼ Declining | Market dynamics |
| Second-life RUL certification (EUR/report) | 280 | 265 | ▼ Declining | Market dynamics |
| OEM warranty analytics (EUR/vehicle/yr) | 18 | 18 | ▼ Declining | Market dynamics |
| Company | Country | Specialisation | Position / Scale | Faradex Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aviloo | Austria | EV battery SoH certification | 480,000 assessments, 18 insurers, 240 dealers | HIGH |
| Twaice | Germany | Battery analytics and prognostics | VW Group 620,000 vehicle deployment | HIGH |
| Connected Energy | UK | Second-life BESS diagnostics | 42 sites, Symphony platform | HIGH |
| Spiers New Technologies | USA | Fleet battery diagnostics | 28,000 fleet vehicles, Geotab partnership | MEDIUM-HIGH |
| recyBEM | Germany | Certified SoH assessment protocol | KBA-accepted Article 14 method | MEDIUM |
| Dukosi | UK | Wireless cell-level diagnostics IC | On-cell sensor architecture | MEDIUM |
| EV Inspection | Germany | Used EV battery assessment | Independent dealer market | LOWER |
| BATT IQ | Canada | AI battery prognostics SaaS | Fleet operator market | LOWER |
This report covers the global battery diagnostics and prognostics market across all major segments and geographic regions. Primary research combines panel conversations with industry experts and is cross-referenced against company annual reports and government agency data. All market size figures use 2025 as the base year with a 2026-2035 forecast period.